Summer at the box office kicked off with the release of opening weekend box office records set by Lilo & Stitch, it looks as though the summer 2025 season will be strong, especially after recent successes like Sinners. With the potential for several billion-dollar movies this year, things look auspicious for a few films.

The summer box office has been healing after several years affected by both the COVID-19 pandemic and the SAG-AFTRA strikes. The total box office, reported by pressure on films like Superman, another film looks likely to win the summer box office.

New Tracking Data Has One Summer Movie Ahead Of The Pack

With Plenty Of Marketing Still To Go

The Quorom, through Jurassic World Rebirth trailer, and with more marketing ahead, the film seems to be setting itself up well to make a significant dent in the summer box office.

tracking data from the quorom for summer 2025

Other films are also tracking strongly, with Karate Kid: Legends scoring surprisingly high in both interest and awareness. Superman also has some of the best tracking for this summer, with a score of 56 for awareness and the second highest for interest, at 49. However, these scores appear to have fallen over previous tracking, suggesting a decline in interest. Rebirth's numbers are notably higher than any of these, with a score of 67 for awareness and 60 for interest.

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The summer could be a strong one beyond this, as additional films like The Fantastic Four: First Steps are too far out to be included in this eight-week tracking data. However, none of the films on this list seem to be anywhere close to the numbers of Jurassic World. How to Train Your Dragon holds the second-highest awareness score, at 59, but interest in the film is much lower, at 44. With all of this in mind, circumstances seem to be setting up for Jurassic World Rebirth to potentially be the biggest movie of the summer.

Doubt Jurassic World Rebirth At Your Own Peril

This Franchise Has Truly Global Appeal

Even though there are many reasons to suspect Rebirth will not connect, such as the fact that it is the first Jurassic World that will not show in IMAX, or the declining quality perceived in the franchise, the new film still has a great chance to connect. Following the most anticipated June releases of films like Ballerina and F1, audiences will be hungry for a science-fiction action-horror hybrid with enormous franchise ties. With the film opening before Superman and The Fantastic Four, it will also have some runway as the biggest series in the multiplex.

Release Date

Movie

Opening Weekend

Worldwide Box Office

Jun 10, 2022

Jurassic World: Dominion

$145,075,625

$1,004,004,592

Jun 22, 2018

Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom

$148,024,610

$1,308,323,302

Jun 12, 2015

Jurassic World

$208,806,270

$1,671,063,641

Jul 18, 2001

Jurassic Park III

$50,771,645

$365,900,000

May 22, 1997

The Lost World: Jurassic Park

$72,132,785

$618,638,999

Jun 11, 1993

Jurassic Park

$50,159,460

$1,058,454,230

There are some reasons to doubt Rebirth's box office potential. The Jurassic World trilogy each earned less than the previous installment, and audience distaste for the brand grew as each film was more poorly received than the last. However, the filmmakers have worked to essentially reboot the franchise with this new installment. With a new cast and creative team and a tone that harkens back to creating the terror from the original Jurassic Park, it seems likely that audiences will be willing to give this series another chance.

Rebirth Is Fixing Everything Dominion Got Wrong

The Title Does Half The Work

The most recent Jurassic World Dominion made a fortune at the box office, but the Rotten Tomatoes score for the film sits at a low 29% with critics. The film spent its marketing focusing on tying all the stories together, bringing in the Jurassic Park and Jurassic World characters together, and culminating in what was supposed to be an exciting and important story. However, the plot of that film became muddy and confusing, and the predominant element that worked for most audiences was the action involving all kinds of interesting dinosaurs.

The original rumored title for Jurassic World Rebirth was Jurassic City, emphasizing a new direction for the franchise overall.

Fortunately, Rebirth seems to be recognizing this and looks to iterate on this theme instead. Thrown together quickly, with the film being announced just over a year ago, the installment looks to essentially serve as a reboot of the franchise. The new movie has brought in the beloved Scarlett Johansson as the lead and has abandoned the park settings of the World franchise to create a smaller, more action-centric story. The film's marketing has highlighted the horror and adventure rather than the plot, calling to mind comparisons to Jurassic Park III.

Another clear point of comparison to Jurassic World is the Transformers franchise. Similarly, those films were based on a popular property, and each one was more poorly received than the last. This led to declining interest in the brand, which was mitigated by essentially rebooting the franchise with a new cast in the fourth film, Transformers: Age of Extinction, which went on to gross $1.1 billion. However, poor reception to Age of Extinction hurt the series, causing subsequent installments to decline at the box office. Following that trajectory, Rebirth needs to be beloved to save the franchise.

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With Gareth Edwards coming in to direct, and David Koepp returning to write for the first time since The Lost World: Jurassic Park, the film is clearly executing a different vision than the previous ​​​​​​installments. The new film looks to reinvigorate the franchise, and box office tracking is making it look increasingly likely that Jurassic World Rebirth could be the biggest movie of summer 2025. Whether or not this happens, it's all but assured to be a big hit for Universal when it releases in July.

Source: Puck News

Jurassic World Rebirth official poster
Jurassic World Rebirth
Release Date
July 2, 2025
Runtime
134 Minutes
Director
Gareth Edwards
Writers
David Koepp, Michael Crichton

Franchise(s)
Jurassic Park