After the last film underperformed at the box office, Paramount and Skydance's Final Reckoning aims to conclude Ethan Hunt's (Tom Cruise) mission against the rogue AI called The Entity.
With just over a month remaining until its release, the first Mission: Impossible — The Final Reckoning box office projections have arrived. As reported by Deadline, Quorom has the sequel bringing in at least $100 million in its Memorial Day release weekend, as is its competition, the live-action Lilo & Stitch remake. This would put it as the highest-grossing opening in the franchise thus far, suring Mission: Impossible — Fallout's $61 million opening. The opening projection for Final Reckoning alone should nearly compensate for last year's Memorial Day weekend draw of $132.2 million.
What This Means For Mission: Impossible - The Final Reckoning
This Projection Points The Film Being More Commercially Successful Than The Last
The last movie in the Mission: Impossible franchise, Dead Reckoning, made $571 million at the global box office with a reported production budget of around $300 million, leading some to consider that the installment was a box office underperformer. There are several factors to include, like Barbie and Oppenheimer making high numbers during the same period and franchise fatigue, as Dead Reckoning was the seventh entry of Mission: Impossible.
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While Final Reckoning isn't facing a pair of films expected to be such heavy hitters that they have a nickname for their simultaneous release, like Barbenheimer, the sequel is facing competition during its release. The most potent competitor could arguably be the live-action remake of Lilo & Stitch, a long-awaited live-action version for Disney fans, which is also expected to open to high numbers. Other competitors include Karate Kid: Legends, Thunderbolts*, and Final Destination: Bloodlines, which are all part of well-known franchises, so the verdict will be left in the hands of star power and each franchise's respective fanbase resilience.
Our Take On Mission: Impossible — The Final Reckoning's Projections
It Being Considered An Underperformer Isn't Likely
I don't see Final Reckoning being considered a box office underperformer like Dead Reckoning. It being marketed as the franchise's finale, even while not confirmed to be such, could be a big draw for fans of the Mission: Impossible franchise, along with the star power of Cruise. Aside from Lilo & Stitch and Thunderbolts*, it could beat out its competition, given the franchise's history of commercial and critical success. All of that being said, Mission: Impossible -- The Final Reckoning should at least break even, despite its gargantuan budget of $400 million.
Source: Deadline
Mission: Impossible - The Final Reckoning
- Release Date
- May 23, 2025
- Runtime
- 169 Minutes
- Director
- Christopher McQuarrie
- Writers
- Christopher McQuarrie, Erik Jendresen
- Prequel(s)
- Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning
Cast
Ethan Hunt
Luther Stickell
- Franchise(s)
- Mission: Impossible
- Main Genre
- Action
