The Emilia Pérez has 13 Oscar nominations, the most for any movie this year.

The Brutalist and Wicked came the closest to matching Emilia Pérez's Oscar nomination tally, as they each received ten nominations. This was followed by Conclave and A Complete Unknown receiving eight nominations, while Anora got six, and Dune: Part Two and The Substance had five apiece. No other movie had more than five nominations announced on the morning of January 23. With 23 categories full of nominees now known, Screen Rant's predictions for the Oscars 2025 winners in all categories is below.

23 Best Picture

Winner: Emilia Pérez

The Best Picture race for the 2025 Oscars already formed a strong grouping of contenders at the top even before nominations were announced. Anora, Conclave, Emilia Pérez, and The Brutalist are the four who appear to be in the best position to win. Anora has the Palme d'Or from Cannes 2024 plus nominations from Golden Globes, NBR, Gotham Awards, AFI, and Film Independent Spirit Awards - which puts it very much in the lead regarding precursor recognitions. Still, the other three also have Golden Globes and PGA nominations.

The biggest risers to this point are Wicked, A Complete Unknown, and The Substance. Following its theatrical release, Wicked won Best Film from NBR and started to climb up prediction charts. The movie has several below-the-line nominations and could win a few. With voters potentially looking for more of a feel-good movie, Wicked could perform well on the preferential ballot. The same could be true of A Complete Unknown and The Substance, which have both come on strong late.

Despite how strongly those films have come on, it's still premature to predict any of them will win Best Picture. Anora, The Brutalist, Conclave, and Emilia Pérez appear to be in a league of their own. And based on the near-record number of nominations, Emilia Pérez winning Best Picture feels very likely. That might not be what many in the general public think should happen, but the level of appreciation for the Netflix-distributed, non-English musical is evident.

22 Best Director

Winner: Brady Corbet (The Brutalist)

The Best Director race for the 2025 Oscars has radically changed throughout the course of awards season. The end result was nominations for Brady Corbet (The Brutalist), Sean Baker (Anora), Jacques Audiard (Emilia Pérez), James Mangold (A Complete Unknown), and Coralie Fargeat (The Substance).

Although Brady Corbet is our predicted Best Director Oscars 2025 winner, it is not a done deal by any means. James Mangold's nomination came after a surprise DGA nomination, so a win from his directing peers there would go a long way in vaulting him to the top of the category. There's also a world where Audiard wins if Emilia Pérez sweeps through the 97th Academy Awards.

21 Best Actress

Winner: Demi Moore (The Substance)

Best Actress is one of the most competitive categories for the Oscars 2025. The final group of nominees is Cynthia Erivo (Wicked), Demi Moore (The Substance), Fernanda Torres (I'm Still Here), Karla Sofía Gascón (Emilia Pérez) and Mikey Madison (Anora). While all the nominees are deserving, it appears that this is a race between Moore and Madison in of who will win.

Thanks to how awards season has evolved, Demi Moore is our predicted Best Actress Oscars 2025 winner now. She has the momentum and recently beat Madison for the Golden Globe in Best Actress - Musical or Comedy. Given the career narrative she also has behind her, signs are pointing to Moore getting the win this year. This could still change if Anora regains some steam and pushes for a Best Picture win.

20 Best Actor

Winner: Timothée Chalamet (A Complete Unknown)

The Best Actor category for the 2025 Oscars has only become more clear as the season has unfolded. The official group of nominees are Timothée Chalamet (A Complete Unknown), Adrien Brody (The Brutalist), Ralph Fiennes (Conclave), Sebastian Stan (The Apprentice), and Colman Domingo (Sing Sing). The nominees for Best Actor are not terribly surprising, considering they all had Golden Globes nominations, and everyone but Stan was nominated at SAG.

This is also a category that could come down to just two performances really: Chalamet or Brody. They have been both been predicted to be the winner at various points this awards season. Brody's Golden Globes win seemed to give him an early edge, but Chalamet's campaign is strong and could benefit from The Brutalist's AI controversy, which may hurt the reception of Brody's performance most of all. For now, Chalamet is our predicted Best Actor winner for the 2025 Oscars.

19 Best ing Actress

Winner: Zoe Saldaña (Emilia Pérez)

The Best ing Actress field for the Oscars 2025 is quite competitive and the nominations for Zoe Saldaña (Emilia Pérez) and Ariana Grande (Wicked) help solidify that. They are ed by fellow nominees Isabella Rossellini (Conclave), Felicity Jones (The Brutalist), and Monica Barbaro (A Complete Unknown). All five of them are part of Best Picture nominees. While they are each more than deserving of the nomination, the race should come down to either Saldaña or Grande.

Zoe Saldaña appears to be in the best position to win Best ing Actress. She is attached to a potential Best Picture winner and has already won a Golden Globes award for her performance. It is worth noting that even with that win, Saldaña and Grande are tied this awards season when it comes to precursor wins at 12 apiece. The Emilia Pérez star has the bigger profile wins between Cannes and the Golden Globes, so that helps give her an edge. Wins for Grande at SAG or BAFTA would help even the race since Saldaña is also nominated.

18 Best ing Actor

Winner: Kieran Culkin (A Real Pain)

The Best ing Actor category was once thought to be Denzel Washington's to lose for Gladiator II, but he didn't even get a nomination. This left the group of nominees to be Kieran Culkin (A Real Pain), Guy Pearce (The Brutalist), Edward Norton (A Complete Unknown), Yura Borisov (Anora), and Jeremy Strong (The Apprentice). With that lineup, Culkin's odds of winning are high based on how he's performed in precursors.

Culkin is far and away the most recognized performance in the Best ing Actor nominees. He won at the National Board of Review and Golden Globes, while there are nominations at SAG, BAFTA, and more that he should win too. If any other outcome is going to happen, Pearce, Norton, Strong, or Borisov will need to win elsewhere and have strong narratives form to make their case. If an upset is to come, Pearce is a strong contender, but Norton would also make sense as he's yet to win an Oscar during his career.

17 Best Original Screenplay

Winner: Anora

The Best Original Screenplay category has a few major contenders at the top of the field. The official nominees are Sean Baker (Anora), Jesse Eisenberg (A Real Pain), Brady Corbet and Mona Fastvold (The Brutalist), Moriz Binder and Tim Fehlbaum (September 5), and Coralie Fargeat (The Substance).

Sean Baker's script for Anora has been widely praised and recognized for how it handles its sex worker story and balances romance, comedy, and drama. Jesse Eisenberg's screenplay for A Real Pain feels like it has the strongest case to pull off an upset. They are the only two films among the nominees to have WGA nominations, as The Brutalist, The Substance, and September 5 were ineligible. WGA has matched the winner of the Oscars 24 out of 40 times, and 32 of the 40 Original Screenplay Oscar winners at least had a WGA nomination.

16 Best Adapted Screenplay

Winner: Conclave

Best Adapted Screenplay is a competitive category that could be a secondary chance for a Best Picture contender to win. The nominees include Peter Straughan (Conclave), Jacuqes Audiard (Emilia Pérez), Jay Cocks and James Mangold (A Complete Unknown), Clint Bentley, Greg Kwedar, Clarence Maclin, and John "Divine G" Whitfield (Sing Sing), and RaMell Ross and Joslyn Barnes (Nickel Boys). As far as predicting the winner, Conclave's Golden Globes win positions it as a frontrunner.

Conclave's win would be a statistical outlier for the Oscars thanks to the Writers Guild Awards. Over the last 40 years, the Adapted Screenplay Oscar has had at least a WGA nomination all but five times. That would put A Complete Unknown and Nickel Boys in the best position to win the Oscar as they are the only two movies to be WGA nominees with the other titles being ineligible. There's also the history of Adapted Screenplay matching the Best Picture winner 42 times, which could help Emilia Pérez's chances.

15 Best Animated Feature Film

Winner: The Wild Robot

Best Animated Feature Film is a tight race between The Wild Robot and Flow. Pixar was thought to be in a strong position to win with Inside Out 2 and its emotional exploration of puberty, anxiety, and growing up. However, The Wild Robot's reviews marked just the beginning of the praise being showered upon DreamWorks' animated movie about motherhood, family, and technology vs. nature. The film has to hold off Flow to win the Oscar, which is more difficult after its Golden Globes win. Memoir of a Snail and Wallace and Gromit: Vengeance Most Fowl round out the nominee group.

Picking between The Wild Robot and Flow is tough considering that both movies earned multiple Oscar nominations overall. The Wild Robot received attention in Best Score and Best Sound, while Flow secured a Best International Feature Film nomination too. Either film is deserving to win, but we;re giving the edge to DreamWorks' moving animated film to be victorious.

14 Best International Feature Film

Winner: Emilia Pérez

The Best International Feature Film Oscars nominees were selected from a group of 15 finalists. The official entries eligible to win are Brazil's I'm Still Here, Denmark's The Girl with the Needle, 's Emilia Pérez, 's The Seed of a Sacred Fig, and Latvia's Flow. From this group, Emilia Pérez appears to be the favorite to win thanks to its overall standing at the 2025 Oscars.

Emilia Pérez could copy All Quiet on the Western Front by being an international contender with Netflix distribution. The latter was also nominated in Best Picture and received over 10 nominations overall. However, it won International Feature Film instead of Best Picture. If Emilia Pérez manages to win both as we predict, it would only be the second film to do so. Currently, Parasite is the only movie to win Best Picture and Best International Feature. The Academy could also potentially look elsewhere for a winner if Emilia Pérez's Best Picture win becomes to obvious.